The Stafford Effect could mean that Cooper Kupp just gets to be a much more dominant player for a few years and barring an injury, what would hold him back? Brown, etc. The peak age for an NFL wide receiver appears to land at ages 23 to 30, as 79.1 percent of the individual seasons fall within this range. He has 81.5 career sacks, including nine sacks along with 63 tackles last season. Jones, who turned 30 in the offseason, has been an All-Pro in two of the last three seasons and has double-digit sacks in six of the last seven years. What wide receivers are 29 years old? Do you expect Justin Jefferson to be capable of starting for the Vikings in 2033, when he will be 35? He has three 1,000 yard seasons over the last four years as he enters his age 31 season. The third-year receiver is only 24 years old and has shown flashes of being a dangerous weapon. Meanwhile, a new breed of defender the Jamal Adamses and Derwin Jameses of the world wears multiple hats and does it all at a high level. It wouldve been hard to draw up a better debut for the Ohio State product. After earning grades of 81.9 in 2017 and 80.4 in 2018, Godwin took his game one step further this past season, breaching the elite at the position. If theres one reason to sell, it should be when a wide receiver is 30 or 31 years old and youre not going to be competing for two years. Peterson is coming off the worst year of his career at age 29, but hopes the transition to his 30s holds a brighter future. Slayton has four games of 20 or more fantasy points in his young career. 9. Relive this Cowboys vs. Giants game from 2014 tonight at 7pm ET on #FootballWeekNBCSN. A couple of young receivers seem ready to explode! Copyright 2023 YB Media, LLC. Jackson doesnt get enough appreciation for how solid hes been to start his NFL career. This is the list of rookies with receiving grades of 80.0 or higher on 250 or more routes over the past 10 years: Odell Beckham Jr., Keenan Allen, Michael Thomas, Mike Evans, Chris Godwin, Doug Baldwin and the two 2019 rookies A.J. That means if you dont have a target baseline in the analysis then youre including a lot of young wide receivers who dont pan out. He's entering his age 30 season. Allen Robinson will be 29 years old in August, and the wide receiver's list of starting quarterbacks he has played with are Blake Bortles, Mitchell Trubisky, Nick Foles, Andy Dalton and a. He was arguably football's best tight end prior to retiring, with four All-Pro designations in nine seasons as a great receiver and elite blocker. Outside of that, veteran wide receivers are tremendous values. Hilton (31). 9. He's been an All-Pro in three consecutive seasons and has three Pro Bowls to his name over nine seasons in Philadelphia. Do Not Sell My Personal Information. I cant tell you how many times Ive heard wide receivers start to decline around the 28-year-old mark, and many in the dynasty industry think you should consider selling before the cliff. Overall, only a few wide receivers make it to age 35 let alone reach 100 targets at that age. The catch seen around the world. Some will say that its skewed results due to the players who are still playing at that age are likely top-notch, but you mustnt forget that we removed all players with less than 50 targets from every age. Hes been particularly adept pushing the ball down the field, with top-five marks in passing grade and yards per attempt (14.6) on passes thrown 20 or more yards downfield over the last two years. The years sampled were 2011-2020 for the wide receiver position only. Going into the 2021 season, PFF ranked the top-32 wide receivers in the NFL and I want to highlight some of those names with updates on how their 2021 season is going: Of the 15 wide receivers on PFFs preseason list from this year who were over or nearing 30 (Davante Adams was ranked first and coincidentally today is his 29th birthday), I would argue that at least 12 have been disappointing for one reason or another. For more from Mike, check out hisarchiveand follow him@MikeTagliereNFL. One question to ponder is where Kupp will be ranked in two years; another is whether or not the top-ranked player in two years is even in the NFL yet. Suttons 83.1 PFF grade was a top-10 mark at the wide receiver position in 2019. Those five players were between 726 and 967 yards. The combined number of age-30 receivers among those 43 names: three. The Ravens have one of the most talented secondaries in the NFL, and Humphrey has been a big part of that group. A person with knowledge of the situation had told . Dez spent his entire 20s with the Cowboys, peaking in 2014 when he was 26-years-old: 88 receptions, 1,320 yards, 16 TD. . He had 1,077 yards when he was 29, but missed three games. Green (33), and Emmanuel Sanders (34). Catching a TD with Larry Fitzgerald in EVERY Madden!https://t.co/kEUMoP37dL pic.twitter.com/Kbc9h0Jqo5. A season ago, Browns 8.9 yards after the catch per reception led all wide receivers regardless of experience, and that came despite a healthy 13.6-yard average depth of target. There are sure to be outliers, but again, do not unload wide receivers who are 28- or 29-year-old studs. Do Not Sell My Personal Information. (via @NFLonCBS) Special. Patrick Mahomes, Josh Allen, Deshaun Watson, Christian McCaffrey, Jamal Adams, Myles Garrett and Quenton Nelson are all 25 years old, making them ineligible for this list. If theres one reason to sell, it should be when a wide receiver is 30 or 31 years old and youre not going to be competing for two years. Please tell me youre going to stop selling wide receivers when they hit the age of 28 now. And what do you know? He surpassed 1,000 yards receiving in six of his first seven seasons. Signed as a free agent by the Jaguars, Jones has 56 catches for 624 yards this season. Down from 26-percent only a couple of years earlier. Ive accumulated a 14-year sample size with only one requirement to be included. From age 28 through 31, we see three of the top four percentages on the chart. This is roughly 6% higher than the average of 19.7% who are in their late 20s. Youve stumbled upon the correct article. The number of those players who were at least 30 went from two to three to five, then back down to three. After removing the players with less than 50 targets, were left with a total of 1,168 individual seasons, more than enough for a conclusion. TL;DR: This article explores at which ages NFL wide receivers have their most productive seasons. For more from Mike, check out hisarchiveand follow him@MikeTagliereNFL. The types of wideouts who we used to expect to get 14 seasons, then 11-12 seasons, now look to be getting at most eight or nine seasons. Emailed daily. Meanwhile once they hit 30 instead of a steep decline, we find a slight drop in fantasy production, but it quickly stabilizes similarly to wide receivers in their late 20s. The first chart will include the wide receivers (WR) age, the average total fantasy points those wide receivers had at that age and the average points per game those wide receivers (PPG) had at that age. Brown, Will Fuller, Courtland Sutton) and who knows, we might see more than 20 new names in PFFs rankings to open next year. However, the fantasy gods are on our side as you can see the % of the wide receivers ages 30-34 who hit the 100 target benchmark actually increases to an average of 25.5%. The 26-year-old has become one of the Patriots most-reliable receivers. Drafted only three years apart, the two receivers are separated by six years of age and both would be consensus picks on anybodys current list of the top-10 players at that position. And looking closer, it was just two receivers who accomplished that, though they both did it twice (Larry Fitzgerald and Terrell Owens), and are both Hall of Famers. The Rams drafted Van Jefferson in the second round in 2020 and have already gotten a taste of how the offense can operate with him starting over Woods; it would be surprising if the team sees Woods as a $15 million receiver coming off of ACL surgery. The percentage of accurate passes he received dropped from 61.4% in 2017 and 2018 to 50.8% in 2019. pic.twitter.com/WrhsYbFYCD. For the 2021 NFL season, several position groups namely wide receivers, tight ends, running backs are getting fresh number brackets, meaning number options for an individual player have. Get the comprehensive list of every Wide Receiver for each NFL pro football team Sutton stepped into the No. Of the 69 wide receivers to play at age 29, weve watched 11.6 percent of them finish as a top-five fantasy option, the highest mark on the chart, putting the idea that wide receivers fall off at age 28 to bed. Here are the top 10 receivers in the AFC West heading into the 2022 season: 10. Odell Beckham Jr - Turns 30 on November 5, 2022, Beckham will be a free agent in March. Hayward has become one of the game's most consistent cornerbacks since joining the Chargers in 2016. If this chart wont do it, nothing will. Depending on what you want/need out of them, they really dont decline until theyre 33 years old. Wide receivers dont necessarily have to be straight speed demons although it certainly doesnt hurt if theyre blazing fast. This would prevent us from getting a better idea of how age becomes a factor since we want to identify the wide receivers who were able to sustain some level of relevance throughout the years, Wide Receiver (WR) Age The age of the wide receiver at the beginning of the season, Total Number (#) of Wide Receivers (WRs) This is the total number of wide receivers that played at that age over the past 10 seasons, Total Number (#) of Wide Receivers (WRs) That Hit 100 Targets This column represents how many of the total wide receivers who played at that age hit 100 targets in that season, Percentage (%) Who Received 100 Targets The final column shows what percentage of the wide receivers at that age hit the 100-target benchmark. Through Week 11, his 91.6 pass-rushing grade ranked first among qualifying edge defenders, and his 25% pass-rush win rate trailed only Joey Bosa and J.J. Watt. At age 27, Calvin Johnson caught 122 passes for 1,964 yards, setting the single-season record that Cooper Kupp is looking to break in the next couple of weeks. In 2000, six of the eighteen 1,000-yard receivers were at least 30, including 34-year-old Tim Brown and 35-year-old Cris Carter. 29 year old wide receivers in the afc. If theres someone in your dynasty league who wants to sell a wide receiver because hes rebuilding, take advantage and buy wide receivers in the 27-30 age range. That's because in his final season, 1995, he played one game for the Rams as a 41-year-old. He is at the forefront of the talented receiving options at Tom Bradys disposal in his first year with Tampa Bay. His 110 missed tackles forced are more than any other player, and his 1,980 rushing yards after contact are fewer than only Derrick Henry. A normal, human Cardinals fan would have said the same about DeAndre Hopkins after he had 1,407 yards last year. That number was just 376 over the remaining 14 games (second lowest). Ingram made his third Pro Bowl in his first season with Baltimore, rushing for 1,018 yards and 10 touchdowns in 15 games for the league's top rushing offense. Height: 5'9 Position: Wide Receiver; Coming in at number 9, Wesley Carter Welker is a former American football pro who played for 11 seasons in the NFL. All rights reserved. But maybe the next generation of 30+ receivers was just starting to come into their own in 2017. Thats where well start today, the wide receiver position. As a rookie in 2018, Barkleys 86.3 receiving grade was a top-five mark at the position, and his 31 missed tackles forced after the catch led all NFL players by eight. On passes that were thrown 20 or more yards downfield, Jackson has allowed just 12 of his 48 targets to be completed, with 22 forced incompletions mixed in. Hes been particularly dangerous over the middle of the field. Wide receivers are in their prime fantasy years from age-25 through age-32, according to this chart. By doing that, were making it a stronger study, though its important to note that if we included everyone, the numbers would strongly help the older wide receivers who stuck around in the league, but we wanted to make this an even playing field. He was traded to the Titans for basically a second round pick and here are his numbers with Tennessee: nine games, 26 receptions, 376 yards, 0 TD. Browns downfall began during the Steelers-Raiders-Patriots mayhem of 2019 and since then his numbers are: 14 games, 78 catches, 957 yards in three seasons. * 21+ (19+ CA-ONT) (18+ NH/WY). Now that we know most wide receivers lose elite upside when they turn 32, what about performing as a consistent WR1 for your fantasy team? Always free! Unfortunatelyand this is something that analytics seems to consistently misshistory does not predict the future. In 2001, 10 receivers of that age crossed over 1,000 yards, including 39-year-old Jerry Rice: 83 catches on 125 targets, 1,139 yards, 9 touchdowns. Julio Jones hamstring falling off the bone like perfectly cooked BBQ this season. . He's posted over 100 tackles in consecutive seasons and was an All-Pro at age 30 last year, with 111 tackles, four sacks and 12 passes defensed. What trends have we seen in the last 10 years of football? And that is what has made him the most valuable player in the NFL over the last two seasons by nearly a full win above replacement. However, a completely rational and sane Falcons fan would have said the same thing about Julio Jones after he had 1,677 yards in 2018 and 1,394 yards in 2019. There are things youre told when you start playing fantasy football that you believe to be true. Davante Adams, 29 Deebo Samuel, 25 Tyreek Hill, 27 Ja'Marr Chase, 21 Keenan Allen, 29 Stefon Diggs, 28 Combined with Kupp and Jefferson, that's eight solid receivers that virtually everyone. Well go position-by-position to answer that question, as it varies. Rice caught 1,023 career passes after turning 30: Skip forward to 2009, a decade after the GSOT, when Game of Throws became Game of Thrones, elder statesmen wideouts were still able to thrive in the NFL. He had a league-leading 159 tackles last year and is entering his age 30 season. Not only does he produce the jaw-dropping, highlight-reel plays, but he is just about as good as anyone in the league at hitting the easy throws and limiting mistakes. Razzball.com and the Razzball logo units are copyright Razzball LLC. Interestingly, he did it at a high level in both the slot (63% of his routes in 2019) and out wide. A couple key nuggets that you need to know before we get started. No position has seen more growth in the past two decades than wide receiver. It would appear age doesnt make a whole lot of difference to wide receivers, though we do see the number ramp up from their age-21 to age-26 season, highlighting when most are at the tail end of their rookie contract. That mainly comes down to the fact that getting Chubb to the ground has been much easier said than done. Probably the greatest wide receiver from 2013-2018 (ages 25-30), Brown averaged 114 receptions, 1,524 yards, and 11 touchdowns per season over those six seasons, all with the Steelers. Heyward has been an overpowering defensive lineman for most of his career and has played his best football recently. Wes Welker. window.PLAYERCARDS_CONFIG={affiliateCode:"fpros_cards"}; Copyright 2010- FantasyPros.com He is coming off a 2019 season that earned a 96.0 overall grade, and he produced two consecutive seasons with an elite pass-rushing grade (90.0-plus) and over 50 quarterback pressures. This Sundays game between the Rams and Vikings will feature the top two receivers in the NFL in receiving yards, each on one end of the twenties spectrum: Cooper Kupp has 1,625 yards at age 28, Justin Jefferson has 1,335 yards at age 22. Cousins is a strong second-tier quarterback in the NFL, and his play has improved since moving from Washington to Minnesota. He will be 34 before Week 1, and the new Raven has made three consecutive Pro Bowls, including two double-digit sack seasons in Jacksonville. WRs who were 29 in 2017: Antonio Brown, A.J. Brown and McLaurin. Get the latest news and rumors, customized to your favorite sports and teams. From the data above on average 96.1 wide receivers per year played in the NFL between the ages of 25-29. Hilton. When drafting a player in the early rounds, you want to ensure they can not only live up to their draft position, but hopefully exceed it. Unlock all tools and content including Player Grades, Fantasy, NFL Draft, Premium Stats, Greenline and DFS. Sources: Razzball.com, Pro Football Focus, Pro Football Reference, Football Outsiders and FFToday.com, Adam Thielen, Amari Cooper, Antonio Brown, Cole Beasley, Emmanuel Sanders, John Brown, Julio Jones, Marvin Jones Jr., T.Y. Heyward is entering his age 31 season. The Steelers didnt have a first-round pick in the 2020 NFL Draft, but thats because they spent it on a 23-year-old safety whose 84.4 overall grade ranked sixth at the position after landing in Pittsburgh prior to Week 3. As for those contributions on the ground, Jackson has no peers at the quarterback position. Speaking to Giants fans during a question-and-answer telephone session at the NFL . Hilton (32), Antonio Brown (33), A.J. Cole Beasley 33 years old. If there was ever a receiver in the last three years who you would expect to potentially meet the Randy Moss, Jerry Rice line, its Julio Jones. He made the Pro Bowl in his first eight seasons as a lockdown cornerback who also contributed as a returner. Whats perhaps most interesting is that in addition to the names above, there were also quite a few other disappointments (Corey Davis, Calvin Ridley, Amari Cooper, DK Metcalf, A.J. To be as dominant as Nelson has been at his age is a rarity in the NFL. Veteran receivers were still quite valuable. 6 years later, we're still trying to figure out HOW @obj made this catch. His 2.89 receiving yards per route run trailed only George Kittle at the tight end position in 2019, and he was one of three qualifying tight ends to put up an average depth of target of 11 yards or more, joining Jared Cook and Mike Gesicki. Barkleys inclusion on this list is based on the obvious talent he showcased as a rookie in 2018 rather than the relatively disappointing, injury-plagued sophomore campaign we saw from him this past season. Even then, you can likely get WR2 or WR3 production, as they have just as good of a shot as everyone else. 1 receiver in Minnesota this year after the team traded Stefon Diggs. Sutton dropped just three of his 115 targets last season. What we end up seeing is a lot of stability over the years. He's consistently been a winner, with a career 86-41-1 regular season record and two Super Bowl appearances in eight seasons. Theres a steady arc in the percentages, and its clear that a wide receivers prime is from age-25 through age-32. Hes, been particularly dangerous over the middle of the field, . Depending on what you want/need out of them, they really dont decline until theyre 33 or 34 years old. In his first season with New England, Bourne caught 55 passes for 800 yards and five touchdowns in 17 games. His one-handed catch against the Cowboys was arguably one of the top-five plays of the decade and even if he didnt invent the technique, he popularized outstanding grabs and suddenly the magic of the position grew by leaps and bounds in the seasons since. Injuries have hindered Green over the last two seasons, but the Bengals are hopeful he can bounce back at age 32 this season. 82 receptions for 693 yards and one touchdown in 2021. His PFF grade ranks fourth at the position since 2017, and hes been the eighth-most valuable safety in the league by PFF WAR over that same three-year stretch. This chart clearly shows that a wide receiver holds tons of value through his age-31 season, though thats where we start to see a drop-off in elite production. Next year is a big year for JuJu to prove last season was an aberration, but were going to give him the benefit of the doubt after two strong seasons to open his career. The Spartans ranked. Peterson is coming off the worst year of his career at age 29, but hopes the transition to his 30s holds a brighter . Here are the links to the study on other positions: The idea is that if you give a 24-year-old and a 31-year-old the same number of targets, we want to know whos more likely to produce (its the 31-year-old). The greatest wideout of his era, Brown is an exception to the rule because maybe he brought this decline on himself. Read about the running backs here The 31-year-old has made six consecutive Pro Bowls and finished last season with 99 catches for 1,394 yards and six touchdowns. Wide receivers are in their prime fantasy years from age-25 through age-32, according to this chart. Asked TY Hilton if he plans on playing next year, and he said it'll be something he weighs after the season. Hilton was the Wide Receiver 22 weeks 9-17. As you can see from the chart above aging wide receivers isnt all rosy as we do see a steep decline in the quantity. You dont want to make too many conclusions based on two-week sample sizes, but its hard not to see the kind of effect Fitzpatrick had on the Pittsburgh defense from his free safety position after joining the team. If the Packers are willing to spend big to land one of the best wide receivers in the NFL, Tyler Lockett is a player they should consider making a trade offer for.
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